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New Zealand's low productivity is commonly attributed to the undeniable fact that corporations remain small. That might be a strength in 2026

For a long time we've heard a well-known story about why New Zealand's businesses decide to stay small. Entrepreneurs prefer comfort, control and lifestyle over ambition, summed up within the old notion “Stream, boat and BMW“is the top of ambition.”

The statistics clearly show this pattern. New Zealand's productivity has increased lagged behind other advanced economies Production per hour worked has been below the OECD average for years.

This gap is commonly attributed to the undeniable fact that almost 97% of local businesses employ fewer than 20 people and lots of remain small throughout their lives. But a rapidly emerging global trend suggests that smallness is not any longer an obstacle.

In software, design, digital media and specialty manufacturing, increasingly international corporations are selecting to remain small. Their goal just isn’t to avoid ambition, but to preserve quality, identity and resilience in a changing economic environment.

This yr, that shift could offer necessary lessons – and opportunities – for tackling New Zealand's productivity challenge.

When scaling is not any longer the default

After the worldwide surge in enterprise capital in 2021, investments fell sharply. Startup funding fell in each 2022 and 2023, with the latter being the biggest decline the weakest since 2018.

While signs suggest activity has stabilized at lower levels, capital is now much more selective, raising questions on the sustainability of the normal “growth in any respect costs” model. Strategies that depend on continued increases in external funding face a tougher environment today.

Artificial intelligence (AI) can also be changing the capabilities of small teams. AI systems can now automate or speed up tasks in coding, design, evaluation, writing, and administration.

A small team equipped with advanced tools can generate results once related to much larger organizations. This has expanded the viability of small, highly productive corporations focused on specialized software, creative content or digital services.

This AI-enabled small businesses can often reach international markets profitably with minimal staff. At the identical time, climate disruptions and provide chain fragility have exposed the weaknesses of centralized, high-volume business models.

Events from the COVID pandemic to recent extreme weather events have highlighted the risks of tightly optimized global logistics, while more flexible, modular operations with shorter supply chains may be more adaptable.

For these corporations, staying small is proving to be a technique for resilience within the face of environmental and geopolitical volatility.

Taken together, these trends point to an emerging type of entrepreneurship that may be very different from our traditional, lifestyle-focused corporations that serve a neighborhood market, employ a handful of individuals, and infrequently put money into technology.

Rather than shunning ambition, these latest “anti-scale” entrepreneurs are redefining it, constructing corporations that maximize productivity, specialization and resilience quite than headcount.

Why strategic smallness suits New Zealand

Smallness could be a strategic alternative that protects quality, accelerates innovation, reduces overhead, and fosters closer relationships with customers. Especially in digital markets, it is commonly technical expertise and precision that matter, not the dimensions of the corporate.

This is essential for New Zealand since the country Productivity problem just isn’t about being small, but about being small, without specialization or technological advantage.

Many of its corporations operate as general service providers in a skinny domestic market, have limited incentives to innovate and remain focused on local customers.

However, productivity is measured per employee and never per company. A two-person, AI-powered company serving global customers can, in principle, generate much more value than a 20-person domestic services company competing in a crowded local market.

International comparisons support this point. Small but highly productive economies akin to Denmark, Finland and the Netherlands thrive by specializing in what they do best, integrating into global value chains and developing skills to compete internationally.

This is an encouraging pattern for New Zealand, which faces similar structural constraints. Anti-scale entrepreneurship is much more related to the success of those small economies than to Silicon Valley's emphasis on rapid organizational expansion. It represents a type of ambition that suits small countries.

We're rethinking how we support ambitious small businesses

Research on entrepreneurial ecosystems also suggests that corporations perform best when their strategies align with the realities of their environment. Conditions in New Zealand can favor small, highly productive businesses that depend on expertise, identity and digital reach.

If these corporations adopt AI early, remain export-oriented and construct special capabilities, they’ll compete internationally without becoming organizationally large.

To realize this potential, New Zealand institutions might want to adjust some long-standing assumptions. Policies that view company size as the first indicator of business success run the chance of ignoring small but highly productive ventures.

Export programs, innovation grants and skills initiatives might be higher tailored to small businesses that specialize highly and use technology to extend their production. Training could also give attention to helping entrepreneurs design businesses to optimal size.

Ultimately, New Zealand's productivity challenge can’t be solved by a single idea. But the rise of anti-scale entrepreneurship suggests that ambition may take a unique form than policymakers expect.

The most modern and resilient corporations of 2026 could also be those who intentionally stay small, use AI to expand their capabilities, and construct reputations in well-defined global niches.

The query for New Zealand just isn’t whether its corporations can grow larger, but whether or not they can grow higher.

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