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Amazon: Developers will probably be replaced by AI in 24 months and problems with Chinese AI

Matt Garman, CEO of Amazon Web Services (AWS), said that AI could replace developers inside the following 24 months.

“If you look 24 months or any time frame into the long run – I can't predict exactly when that will probably be – it's possible that the majority developers will now not be programming,” Garman said in June during a “fireside chat” with employees.

Garman positioned it more as an advisory guide, encouraging developers to develop their skills and not only translate human requirements into computer instructions.

“Coding is sort of the language we use to speak with computers. It's not necessarily a skill in itself,” he explained.

“The real skill is knowing find out how to innovate. How do I construct something that’s interesting to my end users?”

In other words, developers who wish to remain relevant in an AI-dominated future have to focus more on high-level design, user experience, and delivering business value than on low-level implementation details.

They must change into experts in communicating requirements to AI systems in order that they robotically generate code.

An AWS spokesperson expressed optimism about Garman's comments, saying the shift will enable builders to perform more by eliminating “undifferentiated heavy lifting” from their workflow.

But it undoubtedly raises existential questions and uncertainties for a lot of within the industry. Other outstanding technology leaders corresponding to Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang have shared the view that AI has the potential to massively expand the pool of “developers.”

With the emergence of latest powerful code-generating AI systems that may automate development tasks, corporations could achieve greater performance with leaner (and less expensive) development teams in the approaching years.

Garman advised employees to start out searching for ways to integrate AI tools into their processes.

He highlighted the instance of Smartsheet integration Amazon's “Q” chatbot right into a Slack channel to reply questions on internal policies and documentation.

“We often think in regards to the customers, which is great, but I might also encourage everyone internally to take into consideration find out how to completely change what you do,” the AWS boss urged.

Interesting, Christoph Hartmann, head of Amazon Games, recently expressed a unique view Interview with IGN.

While Hartmann acknowledged that AI could streamline certain processes and shorten game development cycles, he said the technology is unlikely to lead to a net lack of jobs within the gaming industry.

“Technology has at all times done this,” Hartmann said, suggesting that AI will ultimately create recent roles while eliminating others.

“Ideally, we will shorten development cycles to a few years, so we will do more iterations, which in turn will reduce budgets slightly bit.”

Hartmann acknowledged the constraints of AI within the creative facets of game design, stating, “When AI designs games, all games will probably be the identical.”

Chinese corporations use Amazon’s AI services

Meanwhile, based on ReutersLast 12 months, no less than 11 Chinese corporations, including government-affiliated research institutions, used AWS and other U.S. cloud services to access cutting-edge American AI chips and models.

These include restricted chips from Nvidia corresponding to the A100 and H100, that are used to run large language models (LLMs) just like OpenAI's ChatGPT but can’t be legally exported to China.

However, providing access to such chips or advanced AI systems via the cloud is currently outside the scope of U.S. export controls, which apply only to physical products.

This has created a loophole for Chinese organizations to access and use U.S. AI technology through cloud services that provide access to high-end products over the Internet.

For example, recent procurement records show that Shenzhen University spent over $27,000 on an AWS account to access cloud servers running Nvidia's unapproved A100 and H100 chips.

Zhejiang Lab, a state-run research institute developing its own ChatGPT-like large-scale language model, also announced its intention to buy AWS services if its own Alibaba Cloud cannot provide enough computing power.

US authorities at the moment are making efforts to shut this regulatory loophole. Congress and the Department of Commerce are working on measures to limit foreign access to US AI technology via the cloud.

“This loophole has been a priority for me for years, and it’s long overdue that we address it,” said Representative Michael McCaul, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

Meanwhile, Amazon and its cloud rivals are vying to fulfill booming Chinese demand for his or her AI services while respecting U.S. national security policies geared toward keeping the technology out of Beijing's hands.

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